PF2e / SF2e Odds Calculator

Skill

+12

Task

18

Odds

Rolls expected

3.0

Per-roll odds

Odds per roll (any success)0%
Critical Success0%
Success0%
Failure0%
Critical Failure0%

Notes: “Odds per roll” includes success and critical success. “Rolls expected” uses expected successes per roll (1×success + 2×critical success). “Completion” is defined here as 1 − Catastrophe within N = ceil(expected rolls). The catastrophe/success split before N is computed with a Markov process that includes PF2e/SF2e natural-1 and natural-20 degree shifts.